Positive year for manufacturers
John Walley. The past year has generally been more positive for manufacturers and exporters than we have seen for a while. John Walley, Chief Executive, New Zealand Manufacturers and Exporters Association The past year has generally been more positive for manufacturers and exporters than we have seen for a while. A significantly overvalued currency continues to be an issue for margins and competition pressure, but some recovery in export markets and improving domestic conditions, for some, have provided a lift in activity. Our own survey has shown a trend of improving year on year export sales, with falling domestic sales throughout 2014, coupled with consistent expectations of improving future conditions. 2014 has been a very mixed year for international markets, with new opportunities, ongoing uncertainties and new risks emerging. Europe has struggled with stagnating growth and facing a very real risk of deflation, exporters to this area have experienced soft and falling demand coupled with intense competition as producers elsewhere search for sales. This risk of deflation and continued stagnation prompted the European Central Bank to add further stimulus, and they are considering starting a U.S style bond purchasing (quantitive easing) programme. Trade between New Zealand and China continues to grow. However we have seen the start of a potential slow down in China’s growth, which could see lower growth rates in the future – this is a greater risk going forward as we become more reliant on trade with China. The U.S market has improved during 2014, and the Federal Reserve finished their tapering, marking an end of their massive bond purchasing programme for now. The recovery of the U.S economy and their monetary policy decisions will have an impact on the level of our currency in the coming years, as will our own domestic policy decisions. In […]