Solid but not spectacular
The service sector remains in expansion mode, but not at the level as last month, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for November was 54.1. This was down 4.0 points from October, although still higher than results from June to September (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). Compared to previous November results, the 2012 value was the third highest recorded since 2007. BusinessNZ chief executive Phil O’Reilly said that the comments from respondents outline a distinct difference when examining those who have seen activity expand, compared with those that have not. “In November, 65% of comments were positive, compared with 62% in October and 47% in September. The increase is obviously good news, but the types of comments received are more specific to a particular reason such as better weather conditions, detailed Xmas prospects or certain tourist opportunities on the scene. In contrast, those still struggling are often more general in their comments, with a lack of customers/orders being the primary concern.” BNZ Head of Research Stephen Toplis expects 2012’s theme of slow progress, despite continuing struggle, to continue into 2013. “New Zealand’s economic outlook for calendar 2013 is unspectacular, but against a global backdrop of significant distress, this is not a bad place to be. “We are forecasting GDP to expand an annual average of 2.3%, mainly due to significant forecasted increase in construction activity. This will be accompanied by heightened consumption in durable goods.” The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) for November continued to show the two options for measuring the PCI in expansion, although down from October. The GDP-Weighted Index (52.2) decreased 5.1 points from […]