Oktoberfest
The service sector breathed back into life during October, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for September was 57.4. This was up 7.5 points from September, and the highest result since November 2011 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). Compared to previous October results, the 2012 value was the second highest recorded since 2007. BusinessNZ chief executive Phil O’Reilly said that there were certainly some notable reasons to raise a glass for the current results. “Both activity/sales and new orders/business were either struggling or heading in the wrong direction in recent months, so a strong turnaround for both to lift the overall result has come at the right time. Comments from respondents also provide a telling story. In September, only 47% of comments were positive, which rose to 62% in October. “Last month we asked whether the Xmas/seasonal effect would help steer the sector back into positive territory. Looking at those who provided positive comments, this seems to be the case, along with various growth stories outlined citing a larger customer base, improving business efficiency and winning tenders.” BNZ economist Doug Steel said, “In the context of some horrible economic indicators for the third quarter, the big bounce in the October PSI is very welcome. While one needs more than one month’s data to be sure of genuine bounce in activity, it is a first step to suggesting a reasonable rebound from a soft patch earlier in the year.” The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) for October showed the two options for measuring the PCI back in healthly expansion. The GDP-Weighted Index (56.9) increased 7.7 points from September, […]