Kiwi exporters can plan and adapt now we have some tariff certainty
By EMA Head of Membership & Export Simon Devoy New Zealand exporters were dealt a tough blow at the start of August as the United States confirmed an unexpected increase in tariffs on our goods, from a widely predicted 10% to 15%. It appeared the New Zealand government and our trade negotiators had been working on the assumption that the rate would be held at 10%, but that understanding evaporated with a decision made directly by President Donald Trump. The shift reflects Washington’s new trade-first, numbers-driven approach, which leaves little room for nuance or negotiation. In this worldview, a trade surplus equals punishment, and despite New Zealand’s relatively modest NZ$500 million surplus with the US, we found ourselves in the higher tariff bracket while competitors such as Australia and Chile remained at 10% thanks to deficits in recent months. Minister for Trade and Investment Todd McClay, accompanied by New Zealand’s top trade negotiator Vangelis Vitalis, is in Washington to press the case for a reversal. They are there to register concern, seek an explanation for the extra 5%, highlight the strain this places on New Zealand–US relations, and explore a path back to a lower rate. However, the message from the US side has been blunt: the Trump administration believes America has been “ripped off” in past trade arrangements and is determined to redress what it sees as imbalances. For New Zealand, the reality is we have limited leverage. One example of an avenue we could go down is strategic procurement, such as directing some of our planned defence upgrades towards US manufacturers to help offset the surplus. While not a quick fix, such moves could be part of a wider diplomatic and economic strategy. Despite the blow, the latest announcement at least brings certainty after months of speculation and […]