Businesses expect recovery in Kiwi dollar
New Zealand businesses are shrugging off the current volatility in the Kiwi dollar and are predicting a gradual lift in the currency through to March 2013 according to a new survey released today by ASB Institutional. The inaugural ASB Institutional Kiwi Dollar Barometer reveals that although businesses see some potential for further easing in the NZD/USD over the next few months, the expectation among survey respondents for the NZD/USD at the end of December 2012 is 77.1 cents, with a recovery to 80 cents expected by March 2013. The average expectation for the NZD/USD is higher amongst importers relative to exporters. Importers, on average, expect the NZD/USD to recover to 77.2 cents by the end of this year, and reach 80.3 cents by March 2013. In contrast, the average expectation amongst exporters is for the NZD/USD to ease further to 74.8 cents by the end of this year. While exporters also expect a recovery in the NZD/USD by March 2013, the average expectation of 78.4 cents is slightly lower. “ASB Economics also forecasts some recovery in the NZD, but to a slightly higher level of 83 cents in March 2013. The extent to which the NZD lifts will depend on how successful Europe is in containing the ongoing debt crisis, which has pulled the NZD down recently”, said ASB Chief Economist Nick Tuffley. The Barometer also revealed that more than three quarters of respondents planned to hedge their foreign exchange exposures over the next three months. According to Mr Tuffley, this suggests New Zealand businesses are reasonably engaged with managing their foreign exchange risk. “This is likely to reflect the increasing trade and financial links between New Zealand and the rest of the world, as well as higher volatility in foreign exchange markets in recent years.” According to the […]