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Will the budget boost small firms? Not in the way we might think

Rod McNaughton, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau

With the lid lifted on Budget 2026 many small and medium New Zealand businesses will be poring over the detail to see what it has in store for them.

Many may come away disappointed. With the government having been upfront about its spending constraints, this budget was never likely to deliver a large new package for small firms.

Instead, the budget delivers a mix of smaller compliance changes, infrastructure spending and energy transition support. It also includes funding for advisory services, digital systems, early-stage capital initiatives and small-business capability programmes, alongside changes to research and development support.

It might be asked whether this mix of small initiatives adds up to anything that will lift productivity.

But aside from offering direct support, budgets can also act as useful signals from government.

On this test, this budget appears strongest on encouraging restraint and resilience in a difficult economic environment, even if it is less clear how ordinary small and medium firms are expected to become more productive.

That is important because New Zealand’s productivity problem will not be solved by large firms, infrastructure projects or high-growth startups alone. It also depends on whether thousands of everyday businesses can lift capability, adopt technology and improve margins.

There is an important distinction here. Business support helps firms navigate rules or cope with pressure. Productivity policy helps firms change how they create value. If we look closely, there are measures in the budget to assist in both areas.

The hidden small-business budget

Several budget initiatives are relevant to small firms.

Simplified fringe benefit tax rules for private motor vehicle use will be welcomed by owner managers, trades businesses and service firms. Removing detailed logbook requirements may not sound transformational, but compliance time is time taken away from customers, staff, sales and cash flow.

The $1.2 billion gas transition loan guarantee scheme may help some energy-intensive firms shift to alternative energy sources. Infrastructure spending, trades training, advisory services and digital tools also have practical value.

But these are mainly support measures. They may help firms cope, navigate or adjust. The harder test is whether they help small firms become more productive.

Some of the most interesting measures are less glamorous.

Customer and product data sharing is one example. The budget documents include support for an economy-wide framework to enable more secure data sharing between businesses, with open banking as an early focus.

For smaller firms, access to finance is shaped by information. A viable business may have loyal customers and solid cash flow but still struggle to demonstrate its risk profile to lenders. Better data sharing might make lending, switching providers and cash flow management easier.

Electronic invoicing, or eInvoicing, is another example. For a small firm, a late invoice can mean drawing down an overdraft, delaying a supplier payment or chasing accounts after hours. While eInvoicing will not solve late payment by itself, combined with stronger payment discipline it can reduce errors, speed processing, and improve cash flow visibility.

Procurement is another overlooked lever, although the budget is less explicit here. The documents include funding for procurement leadership and improving the experience of businesses interacting with government.

For an innovative small firm, a government contract can provide revenue, credibility and a first reference customer. The budget does not present procurement as an innovation strategy, but that is the opportunity.

If New Zealand wants more innovative small firms, government can buy innovation as well as fund it.

Startup policy is not small-business policy

Budget 2026 also includes support across the wider business ecosystem, including startups and early-stage capital.

New Zealand needs ambitious startups and deeper early-stage capital markets.

Startup policy is not the same as small-business policy.

Most small and medium businesses are not seeking seed capital or pitching venture investors. They are established firms trying to manage costs, retain staff, respond to weak demand, adopt technology, improve systems and lift margins.

The Research and Development Tax Incentive changes show the same distinction. In-year payments and greater discretion around late filings may improve cash flow and administrative certainty for eligible businesses actively engaged in research and development. But this is not a broad measure for most small businesses.

The package also reduces the cap on eligible expenditure for non-administrative internal software development from $25 million to $3 million a year. The government says this will better target support toward activities that generate wider spillover benefits.

But some internal software development is central to innovation and productivity. At a time when firms need more sophisticated digital tools, narrowing support for this kind of software development sends a mixed signal.

Building blocks, but no blueprint

There are things in the Budget for small firms. The issue is whether the measures add up to a credible blueprint for lifting productivity.

A small business under pressure does not experience government policy as a set of discrete measures. It experiences the cumulative effect. Does it become easier to access finance, adopt technology, reach customers, draw on expertise and meet compliance requirements without sacrificing productive time?

Business understands fiscal constraints, but still looks to government for signals of vision and coherence.

That is the missed opportunity. In a constrained fiscal environment, the government did not need a grand small-business package. It needed a clearer growth story for the firms that make up most of New Zealand’s business economy.

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